WK 2026 voorspelling

Winkansen per land

Wie wordt wereldkampioen? De winkans per land uit 25.000 Monte Carlo-simulaties op actuele Elo-ratings. Volledig narekenbaar en dagelijks bijgewerkt — geen bookmaker-odds, maar een open model.

#	Land	Wereldkampioen	Finale	Halve finale
1	Argentina	28%	40%	56%
2	Spain	25%	36%	52%
3	France	15%	27%	43%
4	England	9%	18%	34%
5	Colombia	4%	11%	23%
6	Mexico	4%	10%	22%
7	Brazil	3%	9%	21%
8	Netherlands	2%	8%	19%
9	Portugal	2%	8%	18%
10	Germany	2%	6%	16%
11	Norway	2%	6%	15%
12	Japan	1%	4%	12%
13	United States	1%	3%	10%
14	Croatia	0%	2%	7%
15	Switzerland	0%	2%	7%
16	Canada	0%	2%	7%
17	Belgium	0%	2%	6%
18	Ecuador	0%	2%	6%
19	Morocco	0%	1%	5%
20	Uruguay	0%	1%	5%
21	Austria	0%	1%	4%
22	Senegal	0%	0%	2%
23	Turkije	0%	0%	2%
24	South Korea	0%	0%	1%
25	Algeria	0%	0%	1%
26	Scotland	0%	0%	1%
27	Paraguay	0%	0%	2%
28	Iran	0%	0%	1%
29	Australia	0%	0%	1%
30	Sweden	0%	0%	0%
31	Jordan	0%	0%	0%
32	DR Congo	0%	0%	0%
33	Uzbekistan	0%	0%	0%
34	Tunisia	0%	0%	0%
35	Bosnia and Herzegovina	0%	0%	0%
36	New Zealand	0%	0%	0%
37	South Africa	0%	0%	0%
38	Iraq	0%	0%	0%
39	Curacao	0%	0%	0%
40	Ivory Coast	0%	0%	0%
41	Qatar	0%	0%	0%
42	Ghana	0%	0%	0%
43	Egypt	0%	0%	1%
44	Saudi Arabia	0%	0%	0%
45	Panama	0%	0%	0%
46	Czechia	0%	0%	0%
47	Haiti	0%	0%	0%
48	Cape Verde	0%	0%	0%

Laatst bijgewerkt: 23-06-2026 · Scorito invulhulp · groepsstanden · hoe het model werkt · open data